Picks:
7:05- Minnesota
7:06- Rodney Williams
8:10- Heat Winning Margin
8:15- 65 or Fewer
8:35- St. Louis Blues
10:05- San Jose Sharks
10:40- Oklahoma City
Thunder
Overall: 53.5% (191/357)
Streak
Picks: 58.0% (47/81)
Thursday, March 29, 2012
Thursday's NBA Picks
Follow the Leader
Challenge Day 29
One Site Fantasy VS. Roto Grinders We Win By:
Picks with 2.0 value: 63.5% (124/195) 46.6% (54/116) 26.8%
Average lineup score: 213 184 13.4%
H2H Win Percentage: 17-2 (W-L) 89.5%
___________________________________________________
G1- Russell Westbrook OKC
G2- Wesley Matthews POR- Matthews has been the man lately. Averaging over 23 fantasy points per game in the last two weeks is great value for his 10K cost. We like him to easily get that and get even more if Raymond Felton is still out due to personal matters. Either way, we like him a lot tonight and will continue to as long as he is starting and under priced.
G3- Ramon Sessions LAL
F1- Dirk Nowitzki DAL
F2- Brendan Wright DAL
F3- Metta World Peace LAL- We never thought we'd see the day where we would have World Peace show up on our roster. Today is that day though. Due to a smaller amount of games, and honestly a pretty good fantasy option for his price, we like MWP to get more than double his cost of 7K. Something that has stuck in our mind is the way OKC sometimes just doesn't attempt to rebound. Well, the Thunder can't make every shot and we like MWP to be there to get those missed shots.
C1- Roy Hibbert IND- Hibbert has been playing fairly well in the last couple of weeks, and we like him to continue that. We don't see this pick as one that is going to get you 40 fantasy points, but we do like him for between 26 and 30. Washington gives up a ton of points, and there is a possibility Nene might be out.
C2- Pau Gasol LAL
C3- Nene WAS *Check injury reports throughout the day
Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Beat Roto Grinders 232-155.5 Last Night
Follow the Leader
Challenge Day 28
One Site Fantasy VS. Roto
Grinders We Win By:
Picks with 2.0 value:
63.7% (123/193)
48.1% (50/104)
24.6%
Average lineup score:
212
186
12.5%
H2H Win Percentage:
16-2 (W-L)
88.9%
G1- Luke Ridnour MIN- Ridnour has been playing well in place of Rubio, but had a
terrible night last night. Look for him to bounce back tonight. Expect 22+
fantasy points.
G2- Klay Thompson GS- Thompson has been on fire since the trade deadline. He has been starting, getting a lot of minutes, and has been producing with those minutes. Expect 19+
fantasy points.
G3- Andre Miler DEN- Miller had 13 points and 12 assists last time he played
Toronto. With his low cost, we definitely think he'll get his 2x cost value. Expect 20+ fantasy points.
F1-
Kevin Love MIN
F2-
Tristan Thompson CLE
F3-
Tim Duncan SA
C1-
Roy Hibbert IND
C2-
Greg Monroe DET- Has a great matchup versus the Cavs tonight. We expect him to do very well considering they don't have any real big men.
C3-
Demarcus Cousins SAC- Cousins is playing unreal right now. There is no reason to think that he can't go off against the Spurs. If Marcin Gortat can put up 40 fantasy points against the Spurs like he did last night then Cousins can easily do the same.
SFC Picks Wednesday
10 games or more
Atlanta Braves
Orlando Magic
17 or fewer rebounds/points
21 games or fewer
Calgary Flams
San Jose Sharks
Overall: 53.7% (188/350)
Streak
Picks: 59.4% (47/79)
Tuesday, March 27, 2012
Viewer's Choice- 10K and Under Must Plays
We
are all looking for the sneaky-cheap plays in NBA daily fantasy leagues. The best part about cheap plays is the
very low risk involved… and the potential for very high reward. If players don’t perform well, then “no
big deal” because you invested very little. Below are my top 10 under-10K plays of which many will give
you 3.0 their value (values are from draftstreet.com).
1.
Patrick Patterson (F, 6.9K, Rockets):
Who is this guy? He saw 31 minutes
of action Monday night off the bench as he put up 36 fantasy points. In 7 of his last 8 games, he has put up
3.0 his value or better. All he
has to do is put up 14 fantasy points to give you 2.0 his value, and after his
recent play, he is sure to continue seeing a huge workload off the bench.
2.
Brandon Rush (G, 8.8K, Warriors):
Golden State is having huge issues this year with injuries, and guess who is
starting to really benefit from these injuries: Brandon Rush.
His fantasy points for the last 4 games are 34, 18, 22, and 28. On March 25th he played 40
minutes and recorded a double-double.
Rush guarantees you almost 3.0 his value; a huge bargain for a guy who
sees this much action coming as a non-starter.
3.
Greg Stiemsma (C, 7.7K, Celtics):
Coming off the bench, Stiemsma is a force on defense. He will not score in the double digits, but he racks up
rebounds and blocks in his limited playing time off the bench to give Brandon
Bass a breather. It is hard to
find cheap productive centers, but Stiemsma is a great option. In his past 5 games he has scored 19,
19, 7, 36, and 20 fantasy points.
There is zero risk at playing Stiemsma.
4.
Wesley Matthews (G, 9.9K, Blazers):
Matthews is scorching the nets right now; we have been waiting for this all
year. In his past 6 games he has
put up at least 2.0 his value: 22, 25, 38, 35, 23, and 20. Twice during this hot streak he has
almost hit 4.0 his value. Even if
he has a cold day shooting, he has racked up the boards and steals of late
making him a must play in fantasy.
5.
Avery Bradley (G, 4.4K, Celtics):
Bradley is enjoying his new starting role since Pietrus and Allen have been out
with injuries. And you are
probably thinking, “Is he really valued at 4.4K?” The answer is yes; what a steal Bradley is right now. Playing in 40 minutes on Sunday night,
Bradley put up 28 fantasy points, and yesterday he put up 16 fantasy
points. 16 is not that much, but
he is valued so low giving him a 3.0 value from last night! If Allen and Pietrus keep missing time,
Bradley is a no brainer play.
6.
Klay Thompson (G, 9.8K, Warriors): We
have all heard about Klay Thompson.
The rookie is filling in nicely for the banged up Warriors. In his last 9 games, he is averaging
24.9 fantasy points. If I do the
easy math, that is 2.5 his value.
The only downside to Thompson is he can be a streaky shooter. He can put up 31 points one night, and
then next night put of 10 points.
Either way, keep on riding the Klay Thompson train now that Monta Ellis
is gone.
7.
Charles Jenkins (G, 6.3K, Warriors):
Nate Robinson is out with an injured hamstring, and Jenkins filled in quite
well Sunday night putting up 27 points and 29 fantasy points. At this time, Robinson is not expected
back for the next couple games giving you the opportunity to pick up Jenkins at
his ridiculously low cost. Expect
3.0 - 4.0 his value until Robinson returns.
8.
DeJuan Blair (C, 9.9K, Spurs): He’s
heating up! The young player out
of University of Pittsburgh is beginning to finally gain some confidence. In back to back nights, he has put up
38 and 30 fantasy points respectively.
At just under 10K, he is worth a look at.
9.
Brandan Wright (F, 8.4K, Mavericks):
This Saturday he came out of nowhere for Dallas, and in 34 minutes, he put up
45 fantasy points which included 7 blocked shots. He is seeing big minutes with Haywood out, and the Mavs like
this kid a lot more than Mahinmi.
Play him while he’s hot at the okay price of 8.4K.
10.
Tristan Thompson (F, 8.5K, Cavs): The rookie center for the Cavs is a
very cheap play especially since he is a starter. Here is the problem though; he lacks consistency. He has put up 11, 34, 16, 48, and 12
fantasy points in his last 5 games.
If you follow the pattern, looks like he is primed for a big night
tonight.
Honorable
Mentions:
1.
Jamal Crawford (G, 7.4K, Blazers): There is no argument
here; Crawford is the streakiest shooter in the NBA. He can shoot Portland out of games, and he can shoot
Portland to victory. You never know
what you will get from him, but at the 7.4K price, he might be worth the gamble
if you feel a little risky. And
with Felton expected to miss tonight because of family matters, look for
Crawford to get extended playing time and put up at least 3.0 for value.
2.
Byron Mullens (C, 7.3K, Bobcats): What an up and down season
Mullens has had. He has come off
the bench and has been in the starting line-up as well. At one point this season, he was seeing
big minutes as a starter, and putting up 25+ fantasy points every night. Now he is back on the bench, but he is
making the most of his playing time.
In the last two outings, he has put up 30 and 28 fantasy points
respectively. Maybe he is
beginning to find his stride again.
At 7.3K, he seems to be worth the risk.
SFC Picks Tuesday
Los Angeles Angels
New Jersey Devils
Washington Capitals
Uconn wins by 15+
Stanford Cardinal
Chaz Williams
Florida Panthers
Atlanta Hawks
75 points or fewer
Notre Dame double digits
Washington Huskies
Terrance Ross
Phoenix Suns
73 or fewer
Overall: 52.9% (178/336)
Streak Picks: 60.5% (46/76)OSF VS. Roto Grinders Challenge
Challenge Day 27
One Site Fantasy VS. Roto Grinders We Win By:
Picks with 2.0 value: 64% (121/189) 47.9% (46/96) 25.1%
Average lineup score: 211 189 10.3%
H2H Win Percentage: 15-2 (W-L) 88.2% ____________________________________________________
Lineups
OSF: Roto Grinders:
G- Ramon Session LAL G- O.J. Mayo MEM
G- Brandon Rush GS G- Mike Conley MEM
F- Kevin Love MIN F- Dorell Wright GS
F- Brandan Wright DAL F- Serge Ibaka OKC
C- Marcin Gortat PHO C- Samuel Dalembert HOU
C- Pau Gasol LAL C- Marc Gasol MEM
U- Goran Dragic HOU U- Rudy Gay MEM
U- Patrick Patterson HOU U- Kyrie Irving CLE
_____________________________________________________
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