Wednesday, April 4, 2012

SFC Wednesday

Marlins
Any other result- this is a tough prop, if you are going for a streak stay far far away from it. Literally a coin flip but baseball players know the numbers say he gets out.
No homerun will be hit- again for you streakers, stay away
Celtics 
St. Louis Blues
Heat- got embarrassed last time these two teams played. Wade is listed as questionable, but expect LeBron to "put the team on his back" Big nights from Bosh and Chalmers as well.
No run scored in the 8th inning
Clippers- Lob city trick. It's a home game for both teams and the Lakers don't lose at home, but the Clippers beat the Lakers 102-94 and lost 91-96. The loss came on an awful night from Chris Paul where he scored 4 points. We do not see that happening again and we do see the Clippers getting the #green.

Follow us on twitter @streakforcash


Overall:  61.9% (13/21)
Safe Picks: 40% (2/5)

NBA Picks Wednesday


G-1 Avery Bradley: Since cracking the starting lineup, Bradley has at least put up 2.0 his value in all 5 games.  Allen is expected back tonight, but Doc Rivers has hinted at the possibility of Allen coming off the bench and Bradley retaining his starting role.  Valued at 6.9K, it seems worth the risk of continuing to play him even if Allen returns.
G-2 Joe Johnson: A very streaky shooter, and usually we recommend staying away from shooting guards like Johnson, but he Hawks have had a 3 days off, plus they are playing the Bobcats tonight.  That should make for a big night for the Hawks all-star.
G-3 Randy Foye: Valued at 8.5K, Foye doesn’t receive any recognition because he plays for Lob City.  But Foye has been tearing up the nets of late: 32, 24, and 25 fantasy points in his last 3 games.  Last night Foye exploded for 28 points while taking 19 shots; he is getting plenty of looks.
Other guards to consider for tonight: Ramon Sessions, Evan Turner, Jordan Crawford, Shane Battier, *J.J. Barea*: Luke Ridnour is out tonight for the T-Wolves, and Barea is questionable tonight.  Monitor Barea’s status throughout the day because if Barea is starting, then he is a MUST play.  Valued at just under 8K, the last time he played he put of fantasy points. If Wade happens to be out again then Battier is a great under 5K play.

F-1 Ersan Ilyasova: A no brainer here.  Averaging just under 40 fantasy points a game over the last 3 games, and he has put up a double-double in all 3 of those games.  And to make it even better, the Bucks are playing the Cavs tonight.

F-2 Josh Smith: We like Smith for the same reason we like Joe Johnson tonight.  3 days of rest plus the Hawks welcome the Bobcats to the Highlight Factory.  Furthermore, Smith is coming off a huge game against the best defense in the league (76er’s) that saw him put up 34 points with 9 boards and 5 assists. 

F-3 Danny Granger: Granger is really starting to find his stroke of late.  And to add an extra incentive to play him tonight, the Pacers are playing the lowly Wizards.  In his last 4 games, he has put up: 37, 46, 21, and 43 fantasy points after that dismal performance against the Nets last week. 

Other forwards to consider: Paul Millsap, Kris Humphries, and Nicolas Batum.

C1- Pau Gasol LAL- With Bynum out yesterday, Gasol went off for 22 points and 12 rebounds. He played great and has shown to really hit his stride as of late. If Bynum is out again tonight we love him even more. He has averaged over 36 fantasy points in the last two weeks. 

C2- Byrun Mullens CHA- Have you seen Mullens play the last two games? Well, last night he terrorized the Toronto Raptors for a double double and should look to do the same tonight against the Hawks. Their "big man" is Zaza Pachulia who is nothing to brag about. With all of the minutes Mullens has picked up due to the Bobcats being so far out of the playoff race, he has been a fantasy must the last few days.  

C3- Tiago Splitter SAS- Total hunch play here, but if Duncan is out tonight like we expect him to be then we love Splitter. He hasn't been given a whole bunch of minutes as of late (15, 16, 17 minutes in last 3 games), but with the days off ahead of the Spurs, and the fact that Duncan played last night gives us a feeling that Duncan might be sitting tonight. If Duncan IS playing then stay far far away from Splitter. He doesn't get enough minutes to take a risk here. 

Other centers to consider: Nene Hilario and Chris Kaman (If both are healthy)

Lineup with Barea playing:
Ilyasova
Smith
Barea
Sloan
P. Gasol
Mullens
Granger
Humphries

Price: $99,578

Lineup without Barea:
Ilyasova
Smith
Sloan
Afflalo
P. Gasol
Mullens
Granger
G. Hayward

Price: $99,592

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

SFC Tuesday

Carmelo Anthony- due to Knicks injuries, Melo is the only legitimate scoring threat left on the Knicks. His scoring numbers have been much higher the past few games as well.
Rangers
Bruins
Baylor Double Digits
Griner 11 or more points
68 points or fewer 
SAC Kings- Kings are coming off an off day, and the Suns are playing back to back with the Suns best players being older. Also, you do not want to get in the way of Demarcus Cousins right now.

Overall:  71.4% (10/14)
Safe Picks: 33.3% (1/3)

NBA Picks Tuesday




                                      One Site Fantasy    VS.   Roto Grinders        We Win By: 
Picks with 2.0 value:          63.7% (130/204)         45.9%  (56/122)           27.9%   
Average lineup score:               214                              186                            12.7%
H2H Win Percentage:               19-2 (W-L)                                                     90.5%  
________________________________________________________

G1- Darren Collison IND- Collison is averaging 15 points per game vs. the Knicks this season, 5 points over his season average. The Pacers are at home where his stats are all a little better, he has had 7 or more assists in  3 of his last 4 games. Most importantly, the Pacers are coming off an off day which has proven to be extremely important in this shortened season. Expect 19+ fantasy points.

G2- J.R. Smith NY-  With Lin, Jeffries, Stoudemire, and Walker all out for the Knicks Smith is getting more minutes recently. Smith had 20 points, 9 rebounds, and 2 assists in his last game playing 11 more minutes than his season average. Expect Smith to have 17+ fantasy points.

G3- Iman Shumpert NY- Shumpert is a solid play for the same reasons as Smith, but Smith has proven he can go bigger than Shumpert. Iman has a lower ceiling than Smith.

F1- Hedo Turkoglu ORL- Check out our overtime section below.

F2- Glen Davis ORL- Check out our overtime section below. Expect 17+ fantasy points, ONLY IF Howard doesn't play.

F3- Rudy Gay MEM- Gay is coming off a terrible shooting night, 4-15, so look for him to bounce back. Gay is averaging 21 points, 8 rebounds 4 assists this season vs. Golden State who we all know can't guard anyone or anything.

C1- Tyson Chandler NY- Hibbert for IND is not known for his athleticism and Chandler has been playing better with Stoudemire out. Chandler can also give you those unpredictable defensive points.

C2- Monroe DET- Monroe could be tough for Davis to handle if Howard is out. Davis is a big boy and can bang with Monroe, but Monroe is a premiere center and Davis is a backup forward. This matchup heavily favors Monroe.

C3- Demarcus Cousins SAC- Cousins is on fire right now! He is playing better than anyone else in the league averaging 25 points, 11 rebounds, 1.6 blocks, and 2 assits over his last 5 games.

Overtime
Orlando- Dwight Howard and Ryan Anderson are both listed as questionable for today's game. So, we say stay away from them both. Furthermore, keep an eye on these two injuries because it will have a major impact on value of other Magic players. If Howard is out, Glen Davis is a fantastic play. Davis put up over 30 fantasy points in the Magic's last game. If Anderson is out, Hedo Turkoglu is a great play. If they are BOTH out, Jameer Nelson is a must play. Keep a close eye on these injuries and choose these players accordingly. Watch our twitter, @onesitefantasy for these injury updates.

Monday, April 2, 2012

OSF Picks Monday

Picks:

7:05- Drew Gooden
9:23- Kentucky Wins By 3-9 Points
9:23- Thomas Robinson
10:50- 68 Points or Fewer

Overall Record: 70.0% (7-10)
Safe Pick Record: 33.3% (1-3)

NBA Picks for Monday


G-1 Russell Westbrook OKC: Averaging 31.7 points and 6.3 assists per game in his last 3 games, Westbrook has really been feeling it lately for the high powered OKC offense. 

G-2 Kyle Korver CHI: Tom Thibodeau has had enough with Ronnie Brewer’s struggles, and this has led to Korver cracking the starting lineup.  Yesterday was his first start which led to 22 fantasy points in 32 minutes, and with him valued at 6.5, look for Korver to continue putting up almost 3.0 his value as long as he is a starter.

G-3 Courtney Lee HOU: A very consistent fantasy option since Kevin Martin has been sidelined for Houston.  Lee keeps logging big minutes, and has not disappointed fantasy owners as he has scored in double figures in 5 straight games now.  Averaging just over 23 fantasy points over the last 5 games, Lee is a must play at 8K even though he is facing the Bulls, one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, tonight.

F-1 Ersan Ilyasova MIL: A no brainer play tonight, Ilyasova has come out of nowhere to be one of the best forwards in the league this past month.  A couple nights ago against Memphis, he put of 44 fantasy points by recording 20 points and 16 rebounds.  He has been a double-double machine, and keeps seeing 40+ minutes for the Bucks.  To give you a little extra incentive to play him tonight, He is facing one of the worst defensive teams tonight in the Wizards.

F-2 J.J. Hickson POR/Kevin Seraphin WSH: The only reason Kevin Seraphin should be in your lineup, is if Nene is not playing.  Nene has been bitten by the injury bug frequently of late, and this has led to Seraphin starting in his place.  Last night in 35 minutes with Nene out, Seraphin scored 16 points to go along with 7 boards.  Keep an eye on Nene’s status for tonight.  If Nene is playing tonight, then plug in J.J. Hickson.  Hickson has now cracked the starting lineup, and he continues to put of big numbers.  After a huge Friday night against the Clippers (40 fantasy points), Hickson had 15 points and 9 rebounds last night.  As long as he starts for Portland, he is a must play right now. 

F-3: Serge Ibaka OKC: Since Westbrook and Durant usually steal the show in OKC, no one really appreciates the season Ibaka is having.  

C-1 Marcus Camby HOU: The wily veteran has taken over the starting duties for Dalembert, and has put up monstrous numbers.  He has drawn the starting assignment in his last two games for Houston and put up 46 and 38 fantasy points respectively.  As he continues to log big minutes, Camby is a must play.

C-2 DeMarcus Cousins SAC: The only reason Cousins did not have a big game on Saturday is because he got himself into foul trouble early.  Don’t let this deter you from playing him.  He is averaging 44 fantasy points over the last 7 games.

C-3 Al Jefferson UTH: The Utah starting center is just short of averaging 20 points 10 boards a game this season.  It’s tough leaving a guy out of your fantasy lineup who has averaged 41 fantasy points over the last 8 games.

Player to Watch: F Patrick Patterson: We told you a few weeks ago to keep an eye on Patterson, and after he played 29 minutes last night for 19 fantasy points, it is time to consider him again for your lineup.  At just under 6.5K, Patterson has scored at least 18 fantasy points in 9 of his last 11 games with outbursts of 28 and 36.  Do not play him over Hickson or Seraphin tonight, but it is imperative you keep a close watch on him for your future lineups. 

Lineup A:
F: Ersan Ilyasova
F: J.J. Hickson/Kevin Seraphin (if Nene is not playing, Seraphin is a must start over Hickson)
G: Courtney Lee
G: Russell Westbrook
C: DeMarcus Cousins
C: Al Jefferson
U: Marcus Camby
U: Kyle Korver

Total: $99,735 (draftstreet)

Lineup B:
F: Ersan Ilyasova
F: Kevin Seraphin
G: Courtney Lee
G: Gordon Hayward
C: DeMarcus Cousins
C: Al Jefferson
U: Marcus Camby
U: Serge Ibaka

Total: $99,569 (draftstreet)



Sunday, April 1, 2012

NBA Picks Sunday

G1- Russell Westbrook OKC- Westbrook is facing the Bulls today (usually a great defensive team), but with Rose out we like Westbrook to continue to play well. He is averaging 29 points, 3 rebounds, and 5 assists in the last eight games.

G2- Shannon Brown PHO- Shannon Brown has capitalized well since Hill has been out, and now that Hill has had surgery we expect Brown to be the guy to replace him. For this price, he is the cheaper option that is the guy to have nowadays because of an injury.

G3- Goran Dragic HOU- Dragic has been great since the Lowry injury, and now he had an extra day to recover from his ankle injury. He is facing the Pacers though, a team we usually like to stay away from because of how solid they usually are on defense.

F1- J.J. Hickson POR- Hickson went off last game, and surprisingly been very good since he was waived by Sacramento. We aren't sure anyone could predict how he is playing now that he is on the Trail Blazers. Although we really like him today, we don't think he will put up the same numbers he did the other night with LaMarcus Aldridge out. If Aldridge is out then we love this play.

F2- Serge Ibaka OKC- The Chicago big men aren't playing that great overall, and Ibaka is dominating the boards. In the last two weeks, he is averaging 11 points and a shade under 10 rebounds. This alone won't put you where you want to be with his fantasy production, but the 4 blocks he is averaging over this time will.

F3- Chris Bosh MIA- Bosh is hot facing a weaker team down low in the Celtics. With the defense that Bradley can provide on Wade/Chalmers, we think Bosh will continue to get looks down low early.

C1- Nene Hilario WAS- Nene has a great matchup against the Raptors today. Their big men aren't the true rebounding type. Bargnani isn't going to battle Nene down low and rough him up that's for sure. Nene has been playing very well as of late and it should continue versus the Raptors.

C2- Marcin Gortat PHO- Gortat faces the Hornets at home today. Not only is Kaman a questionable player for the game, but he's just not good defensively anyways. Jason Smith has played very well for them as of late, but we like Gortat better than him. Also, the Hornets are coming off a tough loss to the Lakers yesterday, has to fly all the way to Phoenix, and then has to face a fresher Suns team. 

C3- Andrew Bynum/Pau Gasol LAL- Bynum has another good matchup tonight as they face the Warriors. He had an average first half yesterday versus the Hornets, but picked it up in the second half to record a double double. Gasol on the other hand had a great first half, and slowed down a good bit in the second half. We like him and Pau Gasol versus anyone the Warriors try to throw at them.




SUPER Cheap Option of the Day:
F- Luke Babbitt- POR