Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Tuesday's Pick 5 for Starstreet

Ian Kennedy over Ryan Vogelsong.. Vogelsong has given up 4, 3, 3, and 8 in his last 4 starts. And in two of those starts he didn't make it through the fourth. Need to have some innings pitched if you're going to give up 3. Kennedy is coming back from a 2 hitter in 6.1 innings against the Dodgers in his last start. Before that his previous starts were 6, 1, and 3 runs, but threw at least 5.1 innings in each of those starts. Both offenses are feeling good right now, so this really is a tough pick. The pick for me is made when looking at Kennedy's split stats. His road ERA is a 3.62 while his home ERA is into the 5s. He also has a 2.51 ERA in 2 starts against the Giants this season.

Rick Porcello over Jon Lester... Porcello has been pretty consistent in his last 3 starts. He has given up 2, 3, and 3 runs and 22 hits in 17 innings. He will give up his hits and only strikeout 4-6 per game, but his ERA has been better than Lester's as of late. Lester have given up 5, 3, and 1 in his last 3 starts and amazingly has struck out less in those games than Porcello. Porcello will be facing the out of it Indians while Lester faces the Angels who just scored 5 against him in 8 innings on the 30th.

Prince Fielder over Edwin Encarnacion... Prince and Edwin both have favorable matchups with Prince facing Masterson the sinkerballer who hasn't seen much sink this year (4.91 ERA this season) while Edwin is facing Zach Britton the lefty who has given up only 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts, but on the season has a 4.80 ERA. Prince has only 3 strikeouts in his last 10 games, while Edwin has 8 strikeouts. Both have been hitting at about the same level in the last week except Edwin has 3 home runs in his last four games. Looking at the matchup I'd rather go with Prince because Masterson has given up 16 earned runs in his last 3 starts.

Yoenis Cespedes over Michael Bourn... This was also a tough pick for me as Cespedes is facing Greinke the dominant righty and Bourn is facing Pomeranz the lefty. I'm not worried about strikeouts being a factor here as both have had their fair share of strikeouts in the last ten games. Bourn only has 7 hits in his last 10 games while Cespedes has 11 hits in those 10 games. I'm going to go with the hot hand and take Cespedes based on that alone.

Desmond Jennings over Jason Kubel... I know I picked against Vogelsong earlier in the post, but I can't pick Kubel tonight as he only 4 hits in his last 10 games with 2 runs and 2 RBI. Jennings has been hot (13 hits in last 10 games) and is facing the righty Freddy Garcia tonight. Garcia isn't overpowering and the way Jennings is hitting he should be good for at least one hit and an RBI/run. IMO the easiest pick on today's pick 5.

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