Ian Kennedy over Ryan Vogelsong.. Vogelsong has given up 4, 3, 3, and 8
in his last 4 starts. And in two of those starts he didn't make it
through the fourth. Need to have some innings pitched if you're going to
give up 3. Kennedy is coming back from a 2 hitter in 6.1 innings
against the Dodgers in his last start. Before that his previous starts
were 6, 1, and 3 runs, but threw at least 5.1 innings in each of those
starts. Both offenses are feeling good right now, so this really is a
tough pick. The pick for me is made when looking at Kennedy's split
stats. His road ERA is a 3.62 while his home ERA is into the 5s. He also
has a 2.51 ERA in 2 starts against the Giants this season.
Rick Porcello over Jon Lester... Porcello has been pretty consistent in
his last 3 starts. He has given up 2, 3, and 3 runs and 22 hits in 17
innings. He will give up his hits and only strikeout 4-6 per game, but
his ERA has been better than Lester's as of late. Lester have given up
5, 3, and 1 in his last 3 starts and amazingly has struck out less in
those games than Porcello. Porcello will be facing the out of it Indians
while Lester faces the Angels who just scored 5 against him in 8
innings on the 30th.
Prince Fielder over Edwin Encarnacion... Prince and Edwin both have
favorable matchups with Prince facing Masterson the sinkerballer who
hasn't seen much sink this year (4.91 ERA this season) while Edwin is
facing Zach Britton the lefty who has given up only 3 earned runs in his
last 3 starts, but on the season has a 4.80 ERA. Prince has only 3
strikeouts in his last 10 games, while Edwin has 8 strikeouts. Both have
been hitting at about the same level in the last week except Edwin has 3
home runs in his last four games. Looking at the matchup I'd rather go
with Prince because Masterson has given up 16 earned runs in his last 3
starts.
Yoenis Cespedes over Michael Bourn... This was also a tough pick for me
as Cespedes is facing Greinke the dominant righty and Bourn is facing
Pomeranz the lefty. I'm not worried about strikeouts being a factor here
as both have had their fair share of strikeouts in the last ten games.
Bourn only has 7 hits in his last 10 games while Cespedes has 11 hits in
those 10 games. I'm going to go with the hot hand and take Cespedes
based on that alone.
Desmond Jennings over Jason Kubel... I know I picked against Vogelsong
earlier in the post, but I can't pick Kubel tonight as he only 4 hits in
his last 10 games with 2 runs and 2 RBI. Jennings has been hot (13 hits
in last 10 games) and is facing the righty Freddy Garcia tonight.
Garcia isn't overpowering and the way Jennings is hitting he should be
good for at least one hit and an RBI/run. IMO the easiest pick on
today's pick 5.
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